Fair Taxes

It seems that everyone has a different idea of what is “fair” when it comes to taxes. In fact, most people change their definition of “fair” based on whether a service is provided by the government or a private company. For example, most people would consider it unfair for a company to charge someone more to pave their driveway than another person based on how much they can afford, but as soon as we’re talking about public roads being paved, it’s considered fair.

Rather than try to pick out specific cases and try to fix them, I think we need to take a step back and completely rethink how public services are paid for. Throughout this process, we must consider what is truly “fair” as well as what behaviors the government is trying to encourage or discourage in the population. It is also important to remember that government services are for the benefit of the country (or state, city, etc.) as a whole and not to the benefit to individuals or groups of individuals.

A general rule that applies to almost all taxes and services is that the tax should be tied to the service in some way. Using a gas tax to pay for retirement benefits wouldn’t make any sense—as soon as the price of gas drops, the retirement account goes into a deficit. These types of situation usually arise when there is money to be “found” in some other area that can be redistributed to meet some goal. There are some definite places where this breaks down, in which case we need to look deeper into the objectives of government.

Let’s start looking at specifics. As you read this, don’t worry about the poor, disabled, children, etc. I will cover them at the end.

Basic Government Services

Fire Protection: Fire protection is basically a form of insurance (in fact, it was provided by insurance companies in the past). There are basically two things being protected by the local fire department, real estate and personal property. It’s fairly easy to see that the fire department should be paid for by taxes on those two things: real estate taxes, and sales taxes on “durable goods” (the fire department isn’t there to save your consumables like toothpaste, napkins, milk, etc.). In both cases, the value of the fire protection services is almost directly proportional to the value of the item being taxed.

Police Protection: The police protect the same things as fire protection, plus they protect individuals, plus keep general order in society. Like the fire protection, some portion of the police should be paid for through property and sales tax (a much smaller portion though – the police generally aren’t protecting a house from total destruction). The protection of individuals is a bit trickier to value. While it could be argued that some people (the President, company CEOs, scientists, etc.) are more valuable to society than others, most people don’t think that way. So, if we assume every person is equally valuable (and also assume the everyone benefits equally from the “law and order” function of police), then ideally each person should pay the same amount of tax for police protection. Since there really isn’t anything that can be taxed that would produce the same amount of revenue for each person, we’re left with a straight $x per year line-item on our tax returns.

Water and Sewer: These are both fairly easily paid for as a billed service. Metering water usage also works as a reasonably accurate proxy for sewer use.

Parks, Recreation, Public Spaces: The value of these can be divided into two primary groups. First, is the community as a whole—the benefits of these projects lifts the entire community by raising property values, reducing crime, attracting business, etc. The second group comprises the individuals who actually use the parks, ball fields, etc. The second group can be accommodated through admission charges at major parks, equipment rental and lighting charges, permits for fairs and festivals, and the like. The first group is much harder to value. The first consideration is that these benefits are regional (a neighborhood, city, county, state or the entire country depending on the specific space). The question then becomes how to tax each individual in the affected area an amount corresponding to their individual benefit. A logical choice is to base this on income—the general idea being that some portion of a person’s success can be credited to the “environment” created by these government expenses. Similarly, a property tax may be appropriate as property values are correspondingly affected.

Roads and Bridges: Like parks, there are two primary beneficiaries of roads and bridges. The obvious one is the people who actually use the roads. The other is the public as a whole. The benefit to the public as a whole can generally be split evenly among the tax payers. Like parks, this benefit can be covered by income taxes. Like parks, individuals can credit some portion of their financial success to the availability of roads and bridges. For the users, it is even simpler. The users of the road have the biggest benefit and also do the most damage that needs repair/maintenance. This can be covered by a combination of fuel taxes (a rough proxy for amount of use) and vehicle taxes (different types of vehicles do more damage to the roadways). Ideally, these two taxes would multiply together, but that isn’t really practical currently.

Education

Education is an area that is difficult to value and pay for. This is because students are not taxpayers and the value to each student isn’t really tied to any easily taxable expense. Speaking only of how we pay for it (not how it is spent), income tax seems to capture some of the idea. Like some of the above taxes, it can easily be argued that high-income individuals can credit a portion of their financial success to the education they received as a child. This ends up being a process of each generation “paying back” the government for their education and in-turn funding the education of the next generation.

Without going too much into the spending side of the equation, it stands to reason that every child in the country should have an equal education, regardless of their community, financial status, etc. This suggests that education should be funded as a national level and distributed evenly per child. There may be additional, unequal, funding at the school level to cover physical requirements like busing, heating and cooling, security, etc. but these regional difference should be funded separately from the actual per-student money.

National Defense

National defense is very similar to police protection in that there is the individual protection that everyone receives for their person, real estate, and personal property as well as a general national benefit (security, way of life, etc.). Obviously the amount of money is greater, but the benefits are also weighted more heavily toward the protection of the nation as a whole, with the individual benefit being almost a side-effect of that. As with many of the other “benefits everyone” services, it can be difficult to determine who benefits more (and therefore, who should pay more). There is obviously a large amount that benefits everyone equally (life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness), but many people wouldn’t be able to pay for an equal share in national defense. It is logical then, to credit a large portion of an individual’s financial success to the national defense (more directly to our system of government that our national defense protects). As such, it make sense that an income tax would account for the varying levels of benefit. It also makes sense to include a sales tax, since part of what is being protected is our economy and our freedom to spent our hard-earned money any way we see fit.

More research would have to be done, but if a sizeable portion of our national defense was to provide a constant supply of oil, it would make sense to have a tax on oil-based products (gas, fuel oil, etc.) that contributes to the nation defense budget. This same concept would apply to any other commodities or services that could be taxed in a similar way.

Healthcare

It is important for this discussion to realize healthcare isn’t really a government provided services (except for VA hospitals), they just “manage” the national forms of it. This blog post is much too short to cover healthcare in any depth, so the discussion will be somewhat limited.

First, it is very important to distinguish between healthcare and health insurance. Healthcare is all about the day-to-day health and medical needs that are shared by everyone. Health insurance, on the other hand, provides for rare or unexpected medical needs that only apply to a portion of the population.

The basic premise of insurance is that everyone pays into a pool, from which “emergency” funds are available for those that need it. Insurance works by virtue of the fact that most people use only a small portion of what they put in. This allows for the few people that have major expenses to use a disproportionately large share of the pool. This is generally acceptable to everyone because they know those funds will be available to them if needed.

Insurance breaks down very quickly if it starts covering things that most or all of the contributors use. For example, if everyone gets a physical exam every year, there is no benefit to using insurance. Each participant ends up pulling an equal share for these expenses, but at the same time, the insurance company has to take some of that money to cover the expense of managing the system. It makes more sense for individuals to simply pay for their own “normal” medical expenses directly without involving a middleman.

A more controversial problem is that of pre-existing conditions. Insurance works by because the probability of any one person needing some service is very low (if there is a 1:1,000,000 chance that each person will have a $1,000,000 expense, the effective cost to each user is just $1). A pre-existing condition has, by definition, a 100% chance of occurring. Taking the earlier example, if just a few people with $1,000,000 conditions join, the cost to the other users starts going up rapidly. They are no longer paying to cover the risk of an event, they are simply paying someone else’s bills (pure redistribution of wealth).

Healthcare plans are designed to cover both the day-to-day and pre-existing condition expenses. Since there are no probabilities in either case, there is no real money to be saved. The day-to-day expense part simply works like a forced savings account, and the pre-existing condition part is a forced wealth redistribution. In reality, a large portion of the population can’t even afford the day-to-day expenses, resulting in the redistribution of wealth to apply to those cases, too.

In the case of insurance, participants contribute voluntarily knowing that they could have expenses that far exceed their individual contributions. In the case of healthcare, a large portion of the individuals can never get more out than they put in, and some portions will always get more out than they put in. In general, this would be an unacceptable imbalance, so what happens is that healthcare and insurance are combined into a single plan. Since these plans are still unbalanced, there usually has to be some government mandate to force people to use such plans (a standard insurance plan plus paying for your own day-to-day expenses should always be a better deal for someone without pre-existing conditions or who wouldn’t benefit from the redistribution of wealth aspect of combined plans).

Another big problem with both systems is that the individual making the “buying” decision is no longer the direct payer, the plan is. This results in a breakdown of the fair market system and results in prices increasing (there are no market forces to keep prices down). The “standard” solution to this problem is to add regulations to try to keep prices in check. As is usually the case, this sets up an ever-increasing battle between the private healthcare industry and the government.

So, what is the solution to this problem? Unfortunately, there isn’t a good one. The fundamental issue is that a large portion of the population can’t afford the healthcare they need, so the government must appropriate money from those who have it to cover the difference. The issue then becomes deciding what system is the most “fair.”

The amount of healthcare required by an individual isn’t really connected to their income, wealth, consumption, or any other financial transactions. The challenge then is to find things that are close. First, it can easily be argued that a portion an individual’s financial success can be attributed to their health, so a portion should come from income taxes. Next, you can look for “nearby” expenses, like cosmetic surgery and other elective procedures. These could be taxed (fairly heavily) since they directly benefit from the healthcare system as a whole, and are entirely voluntary.

A more controversial idea includes additional taxes for families who have more than two (or some other number based on research) children. This has two positive effects: it reduces the load on the system by reducing the number of children born to families that can’t afford their healthcare, and secondarily, it would provide extra revenue from those family who chose to have more children. This could also be a progressive tax, where each additional child has a higher tax.

Social Security

Social Security is one of a few government programs in that it doesn’t really have any service behind it. It is simply a mechanism for transferring money from currently employed workers to those who have reached retirement age.

There are several ways for individuals to have income during their retirement. The easiest is to simply save money. Without any sort of investments, you would have to save a large percentage of your income, and would have to work many more years than your retirement years. By investing the same money and earning a reasonable rate of return, the amount of money being invested goes way down and will allow for a much longer retirement period.

There are, of course, several problems with plans like this. The first is that most people don’t have the willpower to voluntarily set aside a large portion of their income every paycheck. It always seems like the money is needed for bills and the like. Second, any investment plan has risks—over the long term, the risks are fairly minimal (even significant losses will be erased in time), but in the short term (for example, the last few years before retirement, or during retirement itself), there may not be enough time for losses to correct themselves.

Social security works on an entirely different mechanism—working people pay a portion of their income to the government, which then gives that money to the retired. The current workers’ benefits will then be paid by future workers. The theory is that this provides a guaranteed flow of money from one generation to the previous and will continue to work virtually forever, and as the economy grows, the retirement benefits effectively grow along with it.

What it can’t guarantee is the amount of the retirement benefits. Since there is no investment or other “growth” mechanism built in, the system can only pay out what it takes in each year. Let’s take a simple example: assume everyone makes $100,000/yr., each worker contributes 5% of their income ($5,000/yr.), and there are four times as many workers are retired people. In this scenario, each retiree receives $20,000/yr. (minus any overhead). This isn’t great, but it is something, and most of the retirees’ contributions were made when incomes were much lower (i.e., they didn’t contribute $5,000/yr.).

The big problem comes when the number of retirees increases. This can happen due to population fluctuations (the so-called Baby Boomers) or to extended lifespans. If we take the previous example, but assume there are only two works for each retiree, then those retirees can only receive $10,000/yr.).

There are really only two ways to fix this: 1) increase the contributions by workers, or 2) decrease the number of retirees. Option 1 has obvious limits, based on what workers can actually afford to contribute. Option 2 can only really be done by increasing the retirement age. This, make sense for other reasons, too. Retirement is an opportunity to enjoy the last few years of life without the burden of having to work.

Let’s look at an example. Suppose someone works from age 20 to 65 (45 years), then retires and dies at age 85 (20 years of retirement). First, it is obvious that expecting 65 years of income for 45 years of work is “challenging”. Now assume, due to life expectancy increases, that the worker lives to 90 years old. Increasing life expectancy by 6% adds 25% on to the retirement years, without increasing the contribution. Realistically, individuals should work an additional 6% (2.5 years) to make up the difference.

As to the issue of fairness, each worker’s contribution should be exactly proportional to the contributor’s income throughout their working life. This makes it an easy income tax. Note that there should be no upper or lower limits to ensure that each worker’s retirement will be the same proportion of their working income.

Welfare (including food stamps, etc.)

Welfare is another program that doesn’t really have any service behind it. The reasons for providing welfare fall into two major groups, compassion and societal productivity. In general, the government shouldn’t be making decisions based on morals or compassion. That’s not to say those are a factor (ignoring it can result in unrest), but those reasons are better served by civic or religious organizations who choose to help those in need on a voluntary basis.

The primary reason for the government to provide welfare services is to help maintain a stable society that can grow and prosper. By providing a foundation for each individual’s economic life, they are better positioned to become productive members of society.

The challenge, of course, is to determine how best to fund welfare in a fair and efficient way that promotes productivity, stability and growth. This is another area where it can easily be argued that individuals with higher incomes can attribute a portion of their success to society as a whole. As such, most of the costs of welfare programs must come from income taxes.

Another possibility is to actually employ low-income individuals in government positions. This addresses several problems at once, by immediately making these individuals productive, and a portion of their benefit/income could come directly from the taxes collected to pay for that service. In many cases, these individuals would still be earning more than their direct value (either because there are more workers than jobs, or because the workers are not trained or able to work as efficiently in the position they are given), so additional subsidies must still be provided by taxing the income of workers (again, their income represents the proportional benefit they have received by having a stable society).

Summary

Many of the major issues in our tax debates relate to progressive vs. regressive taxes, tiered taxation, ability to pay, etc. Throughout this post, I have attempted to eliminate those issues by tying each government program to a tax paid by the individuals who benefit from the program, proportional to the benefit they received—this is inherently “fair.” Having said that, it might turn out that lower income individuals simple can’t afford the level of public service they are using. There are really only two solutions to this problem:

First, we might determine that the government is simply doing too much. If someone making $20,000/yr. is using $10,000/yr. of government services, we have a fundamental flaw in our whole government and economic system. This is simply unsustainable—either the government services are too expensive or this individual is taking advantage of more government services than they actually need. In general, the government should only be providing essential services that benefit the country/population as a whole.

Second, we could decide to make the system unfair by taking more money from individuals that have it in order to pay for the services used by those who can’t afford it. Some would argue that this is fair because a high-income individual obviously get more benefit from government than the low-income individual. That is true, however, it has been taken into account in each of the areas of taxation I have discussed and should be considered for other benefits that I haven’t included. If a high-income person truly benefits (or benefitted) from some service more than a low-income individual, then that service should have an income tax component that results in taxes proportional to the income.

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